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Beat the Bookies: Week 17
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 10/12/2009
ANOTHER week, another couple of close games but not quite the right results for our tips to come in. Like Town, Beat the Bookies is finding it difficult to pick a winner at the moment.
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Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 15 |
Notts County v Accrington Stanley. Notts County's plans are in tatters after being put up for sale and it must be a bitter blow to everyone associated with the club. They've still got lots of good players but a lot of them must be wondering about their future. They are facing one of the division's in-form teams are quite simply Stanley are a must bet at 7/1 with Sky Bet. Selection: Accrington
Macclesfield v Hereford. Macclesfield are on a Town-like run, rarely winning and picking up quite a few draws. Hereford are inconsistent but usually dispatch the weaker teams in this division. The bookies make Macclesfield the favourites, which feels a little bit wrong. You can back the bulls at 7/4 Selection: Hereford
Shrewsbury v Grimsby. Shrewsbury and Grimsby nearly always draw, Grimsby nearly always draw. It's got to be a draw! What's more you can get 13/5. You can't turn it down. Can you? Selection: Draw
Torquay v Darlington. Torquay have a big cup game in midweek following this fixture. On paper the Gulls should win, but they are bound to have the thoughts on getting into the FA Cup 3rd round. Darlo may just spring a surprise. The Quakers are 5/1 on Sky Bet. Don't miss out. Selection: Darlington
Chesterfield v Cheltenham. Chesterfield have lost their last three games and Cheltenham's recent results suggest they are a team on the up. 9/2 is worth a sniff. Selection: Cheltenham
This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
- 1. Accrington to beat Notts County. . (7/1, Sky Bet)
- 2. Darlington to beat Torquay. . (5/1. Sky Bet)
Recommended Spread Bet
- Sell Macclesfield mini-performance (24 at extrabet.com)
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 66/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
| Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 5/2 | -£10.00 |
| 03/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
| 20/11 | Grimsby to beat Lincoln | 11/4 | -£20.00 |
| 13/11 | Grimsby to beat Northampton | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
| 13/11 | Torquay to beat Shrewsbury | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Darlington to beat Barnet | 11/2 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
| 22/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
| 16/10 | Grimsby to beat Rochdale | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/10 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Barnet to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Torquay to beat Notts Co | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
| 02/10 | Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
| 02/10 | Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
| 25/09 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Man City to beat Man Utd | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 6/5 | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Bradford to beat Burton | Evens | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Lincoln to beat Bournemouth | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
| 03/09 | Chesterfield to beat Rotherham | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Bury to beat Rochdale | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Lincoln to beat Dagenham | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
| 20/08 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 7/5 | +£45.00 |
| 20/08 | Dagenham to beat Notts County | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
| 14/08 | Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
| 14/08 | Bournemouth to beat Rotherham | 7/5 | +£14.00 |
| 05/08 | Bradford to beat Notts County | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/08 | Bournemouth to beat Bury | 12/5 | +£24.00 |
| 01/08 | Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW) | 16/1 | Open |
| 01/08 | Morecambe to be relegated | 11/1 | Open |
| Total | -£72.73 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
| Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 30/td> | S | 75 | -£45.00 |
| 16/10 | Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance | 28 | S | 10 | +£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance | 15 | B | 10 | -£5.00 |
| 17/09 | Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance | 21 | B | 45 | +£24.00 |
| 27/08 | Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance | 33 | S | 20 | +£13.00 |
| 20/08 | Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance | 28 | S | 30 | -£2.00 |
| 14/08 | Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance | 23 | S | 30 | -£7.00 |
| Total | +£6.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
| Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 24/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 21/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 13/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 10/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 11/1 | -£10.00 |
| 30/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
| 16/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
| 08/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
| 06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
| 30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
| 25/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 14/1 | -£10.00 |
| 17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 10/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
| 03/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| 27/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
| 20/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
| 18/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
| 15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
| 11/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | ??/1 | -£10.00 |
| 05/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
| Total | -£230.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
This site is by the fans, for the fans, and we will consider articles on any subject relating to the Mariners whether it be related to current news, a nostalgic look back in the past, a story about a player, a game or games in the past, something about Blundell Park or football in general. Click here to submit your article!
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