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Beat the Bookies: Week 42

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 24/05/2006

WEST Ham came so frustratingly close to winning the FA Cup! Beat the Bookies was within a whisker of picking another winner, but at least the season ended with about a 40% profit over 42 weeks, which takes some beating.

Home > 2005-2006 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 42


There is only one match this weekend, well actually there are two as Swansea play Barnsley in the curtain raiser for the really big one on Sunday.

The bookies make Town narrow favourites, with bet365.com offering 7/5 for a Grimsby win in 90 mins, 15/8 for a Cheltenham victory in normal time and 11/5 for a draw and the resultant extra time.

Those odds seem about right, but instead of plumping for one of those three events, instead it is time to look at the first goal scorer odds. Justin Whittle has yet to find the net this season, and he's come close a few times. Yet the bookies rank Whittle at 50/1 to score the first Grimsby goal (not the first goal of the game, mind). Likewise the odds of Whittle scoring the last Grimsby goal are also 50/1 with bet365.com.

Everyone knows Town are dangerous at set pieces (all three goals against Lincoln were scored that way). Whittle is normally found in and around the box for corners and free kicks. It's a long shot but a fitting way to end the season. To increase your chances put half your stake of the first Grimsby goal and the other on the last (if Town score three and Whittle scores the second you are going to be very happy as well in all probability!)

Beat the Summer Bookies will be appearing shortly when there is the minor matter of the World Cup, amongst other things, to bet on.

RECOMMENDED BET OF THE WEEK:
Justin Whittle to score the first/last Grimsby goals (Two bets at 50/1 each)

Previous Bets (around £10 per week)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
27/07Rushden to get relegated5/2+£25.00
03/08Sell Lincoln in League Two 60 Indexbought at 13
sold at 7
+£12.00
10/08Rob Jones to score v Chester12/1£0.00
17/08Buy Scunthorpe in the Mini Performance Index vs Forestbought@16
actual 35
+£11.97
24/08Rob Jones to score v Derby33/1-£10.00
31/08Northampton to beat Wycombe2/1-£10.00
13/09Carlisle to beat Cheltenham2/1+£20.00
19/09Grimsby to beat Spurs5/1+£50.00
26/09Hull to beat Norwich16/5-£10.00
05/10Grimsby v Wycombe total goalsbought at 2.8
actual 1
-£9.00
11/10England v Poland total goalsbought at 2.6
actual 3
+£4.00
17/10Woking to beat Forest11/4+£27.50
24/10Grimsby to beat Newcastle6/1-£10.00
02/11Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby10/3+£33.33
08/11Macclesfield to beat Grimsby7/2-£10.00
16/11Tommy Mooney to score against Grimsby5/4-£10.00
23/11Carlisle v Wycombe: buy total goalsbought at 2.9
actual 1
-£9.50
29/11Grays to beat Mansfield9/5-£10.00
06/12Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby7/2+£35.00
14/12Wycombe to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
20/12Various Xmas Upsetsvarious-£11.50
29/12Hull to beat Leeds4/1-£10.00
04/01Arsenal not to beat Cardiff9/2-£10.00
11/01Carlisle to beat Shrewsbury7/5-£10.00
18/01Grimsby to beat TorquayEvens-£10.00
24/01Cheltenham to beat Newcastle5/1-£10.00
31/01West Ham to beat Sunderland8/15+£5.33
09/02Carlisle to win League Two11/2+£55.00
17/02Rochdale to beat Grimsby7/40.00
22/02Peterborough to beat Bristol Rovers5/6-£10.00
01/03Fulham to beat Arsenal11/5-£10.00
07/03Lincoln to beat Rushden4/6-£10.00
15/03Rushden to beat Leyton Orient9/5+£18.00
22/03West Ham to beat Wigan11/4+£27.50
29/03Wrexham to beat Grimsby10/3-£10.00
05/04Carlisle to beat GrimsbyEvens+£10.00
11/04Rushden to beat Rochdale6/5-£10.00
18/04Lincoln to draw with Leyton Orient9/4+£22.50
26/04Torquay to win at Carlisle9/2+£45.00
03/05Northampton to beat Grimsby10/3-£10.00
08/05West Ham to win the FA Cup in normal time9/2-£10.00
Total +£172.13

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