The Fishy - Grimsby Town FC

Football Underachievers (Next Three Days)

This xPts vs Pts value-bets table highlights teams whose recent results differ sharply from their underlying performance. It compares actual points (Pts) with expected points (xPts) over the last 10 matches to identify sides that may be over‑ or under-performing. A large gap can signal potential value when set against the latest 1x2 odds. The fixtures are ranked by the strongest expected returns, but punters should still check team news, injuries, and rotation to understand why recent performance may not match the underlying numbers.
KO times: BST Change timezone (requires login)

Match DateCompGameValue BetxPtsPtsDiffOdds
Sat 20:00 Spanish La LigaLL Valencia v Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 17.43 10 -7.43 2.26
Sat 15:00 Premier LeagueEPL Fulham v Hull Fulham 12.77 6 -6.77 1.77
Sun 00:30 MLSMLS New York City v Los Angeles FC New York City 13.62 7 -6.62
Sat 21:30 MLSMLS Minnesota United v St. Louis City Minnesota United 12.53 6 -6.53 2.43
Sun 14:00 Turkish Super LeagueSuper Kocaelispor v Goztepe Goztepe 15.86 10 -5.86 2.49
Sat 19:45 French Ligue 1L1 Lille v Brest Brest 14.85 9 -5.85 4.05
Fri 19:45 Italian Serie ASA Frosinone v Sassuolo Sassuolo 16.72 11 -5.72 2.76
Sun 01:30 MLSMLS Sporting KC v Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 10.53 5 -5.53 2.32
Sun 19:45 Italian Serie ASA Juventus v Lazio Juventus 21.32 16 -5.32 1.69
Sun 01:30 MLSMLS Sporting KC v Real Salt Lake Sporting KC 13.16 8 -5.16 2.85
Fri 19:30 German BundesligaBund Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln Eintracht Frankfurt 11.98 7 -4.98 1.99
Sat 13:00 French Ligue 2L2 Nantes v Dunkerque Nantes 13.98 9 -4.98 1.7
Sat 15:15 Spanish La LigaLL Villarreal v Elche Villarreal 15.88 11 -4.88 1.51
Sat 19:45 Italian Serie ASA AS Roma v Genoa Genoa 10.83 6 -4.83 7.7
Sat 12:30 ChampionshipCha Millwall v Lincoln City Lincoln City 15.80 11 -4.80 5
Sat 15:00 Premier LeagueEPL Brentford v Liverpool Liverpool 15.71 11 -4.71 2.87
Sat 15:00 ChampionshipCha Derby v Stoke Derby 10.47 6 -4.47 2.95
Sat 14:00 Turkish Super LeagueSuper Amed v Konyaspor Konyaspor 9.45 5 -4.45 3.88
Sat 06:00 Japan J1-LeagueJL1 JEF United Chiba v Yokohama FM JEF United Chiba 9.40 5 -4.40 3.6
Sat 15:00 League OneL1 Leicester v Doncaster Leicester 17.37 13 -4.37 1.86
Sun 16:30 Premier LeagueEPL Nottingham Forest v Arsenal Nottingham Forest 14.26 10 -4.26 6.11
Sat 15:00 ChampionshipCha Wrexham v Preston Preston 8.19 4 -4.19
Sat 15:00 ChampionshipCha Norwich v Portsmouth Norwich 13.18 9 -4.18 1.8
Sat 20:00 Dutch EredivisieEre Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II Sparta Rotterdam 10.17 6 -4.17 1.65
Sun 11:15 Dutch EredivisieEre PEC Zwolle v Go Ahead Eagles PEC Zwolle 8.07 4 -4.07 3.45
Sun 03:30 MLSMLS Seattle v Montreal Montreal 11.02 7 -4.02 5.8
Sat 12:35 China Super LeagueSL Qingdao Hainiu v Liaoning Tieren Qingdao Hainiu 3.75 0 -3.75 5.6
Sun 03:30 MLSMLS LA Galaxy v San Diego San Diego 12.65 9 -3.65 3.5
Sat 12:35 China Super LeagueSL Yunnan Yukun v Chongqing Tonglianglong Chongqing Tonglianglong 8.58 5 -3.58 4.7
Sun 16:15 French Ligue 1L1 Le Havre v Auxerre Le Havre 10.48 7 -3.48 2.42
Sun 00:30 MLSMLS Orlando v D.C. United D.C. United 13.47 10 -3.47
Sun 17:00 Turkish Super LeagueSuper Istanbul Basaksehir v Gazisehir Gaziantep Gazisehir Gaziantep 11.40 8 -3.40 4.64
Sun 13:00 Spanish La LigaLL Osasuna v Racing Santander Osasuna 11.34 8 -3.34 2.04
Sat 15:15 Spanish La LigaLL Villarreal v Elche Elche 13.33 10 -3.33 6.73
Sat 06:00 Japan J1-LeagueJL1 Tokyo Verdy v FC Tokyo Tokyo Verdy 7.33 4 -3.33 4.9
Sun 14:00 Premier LeagueEPL Brighton v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 12.23 9 -3.23 5.44
Sat 12:35 China Super LeagueSL Qingdao Hainiu v Liaoning Tieren Liaoning Tieren 9.20 6 -3.20 1.55
Fri 19:30 German BundesligaBund Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Koln FC Koln 12.14 9 -3.14 3.53
Sun 00:30 MLSMLS New York City v Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 14.01 11 -3.01

Related Stories