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Beat the Bookies: Week 22

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 29/12/2005

LAST week's theory of lots of upsets over the Xmas period proved totally wrong and there were in fact very few! Instead I suspect all the upsets are instead going to happen over the New Year weekend, especially with the ridiculous number of games this year.

Home > 2005-2006 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 22

Town won both of their games for starters against bottom half opposition to upset my apple cart (and very pleased I was to be wrong!). The New Year weekend sees their squad have two severe tests in the shape of Wrexham away and Carlisle at home. Both Wrexham and Carlisle had their games postponed on Wednesday, which could prove to be a big factor as the squads and fitness levels are stretched this weekend.

Wrexham are actually slight favourites with to beat Town at the Racecourse. The Welshmen are rated 13/10, with Town marginally longer at 7/4 and the draw 9/4. Wrexham's home form on paper looks very good, although the only team they have played at home in the leading pack is Carlisle, who they lost to in August. It's a difficult one to call, but I'd probably plump for a home win at those odds.

Hull City have their big Yorkshire derby with Leeds at Elland Road on New Year's Eve. Leeds are expected to win, but Hull have underachieved this season and have a team capable of springing a surprise. The argument over ticket allocation may be just the fillip the Tiger's need to up their game against third placed Leeds. Hull are 4/1 to win with

Elsewhere there are other possible upsets on the cards. Chelsea are 4/1 not to beat Birmingham, (who drew with Man Utd in their last game) with Bolton are 13/2 to win at Man Utd, surely worth a few quid as they are not far apart in the table. Chesterfield could be the latest "minnows" to claim Forest's scalp in League One. The Derbyshire club are actually above Forest in the table but are still 5/2 to win at the City Ground with That's also worth a few quid if you have any left!

Hull to beat Leeds

Previous Bets (around £10 per week)

27/07Rushden to get relegated5/2In progress
03/08Sell Lincoln in League Two 60 Index13In progress
10/08Rob Jones to score v Chester12/1£0.00
17/08Buy Scunthorpe in the Mini Performance Index vs Forestbought@16
actual 35
24/08Rob Jones to score v Derby33/1-£10.00
31/08Northampton to beat Wycombe2/1-£10.00
13/09Carlisle to beat Cheltenham2/1+£20.00
19/09Grimsby to beat Spurs5/1+£50.00
26/09Hull to beat Norwich16/5-£10.00
05/10Grimsby v Wycombe total goalsbought at 2.8
actual 1
11/10England v Poland total goalsbought at 2.6
actual 3
17/10Woking to beat Forest11/4+£27.50
24/10Grimsby to beat Newcastle6/1-£10.00
02/11Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby10/3+£33.33
08/11Macclesfield to beat Grimsby7/2-£10.00
16/11Tommy Mooney to score against Grimsby5/4-£10.00
23/11Carlisle v Wycombe: buy total goalsbought at 2.9
actual 1
29/11Grays to beat Mansfield9/5-£10.00
06/12Bristol Rovers to beat Grimsby7/2+£35.00
14/12Wycombe to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
20/12Various Xmas Upsetsvarious-£11.50
Total +£71.80

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