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Beat the Bookies: Week 16

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 09/11/2006

THIS weekend all other bets are off. There's only one bet worth considering and that's the Mighty Mariners to beat Northamton and enter the draw for the second round of the FA Cup.

Home > 2006-2007 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 16


I predict that although new manager Alan Buckley will probably not pick the team or even take charge of them on the day, his effect on the side will be instantaneous just in terms of the massive lift which the players will get from his arrival. But the biggest effect of all with be on the Mariners' supporters, who no doubt will turn out in their droves to see the return of a man few of us thought would every manage Grimsby again, let alone be handed a 2.5 year contract! If ever there was an occasion when the Town supporters will be the twelfth man it will be on Saturday at Sixfields. Finally there is the additional magic of the FA Cup and a chance to gain revenge on Northampton for overtaking us last season!

So, all in all, the ingredients are there for an upset but the odds still reflect the old Town under Graham Rodger and not the brave new Mariners which the bookies in their London offices are totally unaware of. Bet365 offer 7/2 for a Grimsby win, but you should be able to get 9/2 at other bookies if you shop around. What's more, if you need further convincing, Northampton have only won one game at home all season. They tend to draw a lot of games especially at Sixfields.

24 hours ago I was worried the board had made a grave mistake appointing Alan Buckley. Now I have come full circle and believe we have a serious chance of beating Northampton this weekend with Alan once again at the helm, or more actually with only one hand on the tiller for the first few days of his reign. I have regained the faith, it might be blind faith, but it's a lot more satisfying than betting on Town to lose I can tell you, and I am quite prepared to put my money where my mouth is.

Finally for the really committed supporter convinced of the new Renaissance you can still get around 50/1 for the Mariners to be promoted. We are only 12 points off the last play-off place after all with nearly 30 games to go. It's do-able!

Recommended Bets

  • 1. Grimsby to beat Northampton (9/2).

Third best would be Lincoln to win at Swindon but I'm only allowed to bet on two games!

Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
30/07Hartlepool to be promoted7/2Ongoing
30/07Barnet to be relegated10/3Ongoing
04/08Boston to beat Grimsby13/5-£10.00
04/08Grimsby to be relegated14/1Ongoing
10/08Bristol R to beat Grimsby13/8£16.25
10/08Darlington to beat Boston6/4-£10.00
16/08Mansfield to beat Grimsby13/5-£10.00
16/08Aston Villa to beat Arsenal12/1-£10.00
23/08Bury to beat Grimsby8/5£16.00
23/08West Ham to beat Liverpool11/2-£10.00
29/08Wales to beat Czech Republic8/1-£10.00
05/09Grimsby to draw with Walsall11/5-£10.00
05/09Aston Villa to beat West Ham5/2-£10.00
13/09Grimsby to beat Chester19/10£19.00
19/09Lincoln to beat Wycombe11/4£22.75
19/09Tottenham to beat Liverpool7/2-£10.00
23/09Hartlepool to beat Grimsby13/5£26.00
23/09Benfica to beat Man Utd5/2-£10.00
03/10Hartlepool beat Lincoln15/8-£10.00
11/10Reading to beat Chelsea13/2-£10.00
16/10Bury to beat Tranmere9/4-£10.00
16/10Peterborough to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
24/10Whitley Bay to beat Gainsborough6/1-£10.00
24/10Aston Villa to beat Liverpool11/2-£10.00
02/11Bury to beat Rochdale17/10£17.00
Total -£43.00

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