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Beat the Bookies: Week 24

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 05/02/2010

ADAM Proudlock's penalty miss not only cost the Mariners two precious points, it also cost Beat the Bookies a near certain fifty quid. With yet another postponement at Lincoln it means that the other bet had no chance of making up the deficit.

Home > 2009-2010 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 19


Chesterfield v Lincoln. Lincoln have had some decent results recently and when they have lost it has been narrowly. Chesterfield's biggest problem is scoring; their games have been very low scoring of late. This looks like a low scoring game, and it could be close. 11/2 for an away win looks very generous. Selection: Lincoln

Grimsby v Notts County. Grimsby surely can't win this, or can they? County are on fire, doing well in the league and FA Cup, and their off the field problems don't seem to be having too much effect so far. So why are we tipping Grimsby to win? Because they are 4/1, a ridiculous price for a home team in this division. Town almost won away at Aldershot this week and have Lancashire in the squad now as well. The home win has to be the value bet in this game. Selection: Grimsby

Dag & Red v Northampton. Northampton have won their last three away games; Dagenham have lost 4 out of 6 home games, many of them heavily. Dagenham at the moment seem a team on the down, the Cobblers a team on the up. 9/4 looks a very good price for an away win. Selection: Northampton

Barnet v Aldershot. Barnet cannot win for love or money at the moment and it's worth backing whoever they are playing. Aldershot looked a solid team on their second half performance last weekend and 6/4 is a good price against a team bottom of the form table. Selection: Aldershot

This season we will again be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy). The Monkey lost every bet last year.


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Northampton to beat Dagenham. . (9/4, Bet365)
  • 2. Aldershot to beat Barnet. . (6/4, Bet365)

Recommended Spread Bet

  • No bet this week

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1, 50/1 Bet365

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
29/01Grimsby to beat Aldershot5/1-£10.00
29/01Lincoln to beat Dagenham13/2£0.00
23/01Morecambe to beat BarnetEvens+£10.00
23/01Grimsby to beat Rotherham5/1-£10.00
16/01Crewe to beat Dagenham?-£10.00
16/01Torquay to beat Chesterfield?-£10.00
24/12Grimsby to beat Notts County13/2£0.00
24/12Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
16/12Accrington to beat BarnetEvens£0.00
16/12Morecambe to beat GrimsbyEvens-£10.00
10/12Accrington to beat Notts County7/1+£70.00
10/12Darlington to beat Torquay5/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to beat Dagenham5/2-£10.00
03/12Shrewsbury to beat Bournemouth15/4-£10.00
20/11Grimsby to beat Lincoln11/4-£20.00
13/11Grimsby to beat Northampton9/2-£10.00
13/11Torquay to beat Shrewsbury7/2-£10.00
05/11Darlington to beat Barnet11/2-£10.00
05/11Bradford to beat Notts County4/1-£10.00
22/10Accrington Stanley to beat Rochdale11/2+£55.00
22/10Darlington to beat Barnet5/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to beat Rochdale3/1-£10.00
16/10Bradford to beat Dagenham7/2-£10.00
08/10Barnet to beat Rochdale10/3-£10.00
08/10Torquay to beat Notts Co8/1-£10.00
02/10Accrington Stanley to beat Chesterfield15/4-£10.00
02/10Shrewsbury to beat Morecambe6/4-£10.00
25/09Grimsby v Darlington - Under 2.5 goals4/5+£8.00
25/09Morecambe to beat Dagenham5/1-£10.00
17/09Man City to beat Man Utd5/1-£10.00
17/09Port Vale to beat Bury6/5-£10.00
10/09Bradford to beat BurtonEvens-£10.00
10/09Lincoln to beat Bournemouth4/1-£10.00
03/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury5/2+£25.00
03/09Chesterfield to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
27/08Bury to beat Rochdale21/10-£10.00
27/08Lincoln to beat Dagenham10/3-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to beat Bury7/5+£45.00
20/08Dagenham to beat Notts County5/1-£10.00
14/08Accrington v Lincoln. Under 2.5 goals8/11+£7.27
14/08Bournemouth to beat Rotherham7/5+£14.00
05/08Bradford to beat Notts County3/1-£10.00
05/08Bournemouth to beat Bury12/5+£24.00
01/08Bournemouth to win League Two (£5 EW)16/1Open
01/08Morecambe to be relegated11/1Open
Total -£72.73


Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
10/12Macclesfield v Hereford: Sell Macclesfield mini-performance24/td>S55-£31.00
22/10Chesterfield v Burton Albion: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance30/td>S75-£45.00
16/10Darlington v Shrewsbury: Sell Shrewsbury mini-performance28S10+£10.00
25/09Notts County v Port Vale: Buy Port Vale mini-performance15B10-£5.00
17/09Torquay v Grimsby: Buy Grimsby mini-performance21B45+£24.00
27/08Chesterfield v Morecambe: Sell Chesterfield mini-performance33S20+£13.00
20/08Morecambe v Macclesfield: Sell Morecambe mini performance28S30-£2.00
14/08Barnet v Shrewsbury: Sell Barnet mini performance23S30-£7.00
Total -£25.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
29/01Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
23/01Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
16/01Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
02/01Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
28/12Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
16/12Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
10/12Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/12Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
28/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
24/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
21/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
13/11Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
10/11Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
05/11Grimsby to win 3-111/1-£10.00
30/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
16/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
08/10Grimsby to win 3-120/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-166/1-£10.00
03/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
25/09Grimsby to win 3-114/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
10/09Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
03/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
20/08Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
18/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
11/08Grimsby to win 3-1??/1-£10.00
05/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
Total -£310.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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