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Beat the Bookies: Week 29

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 27/02/2008

LINCOLN and Barnet failed to win their games at the weekend, but us Mariners can't complain at the results of the last two games, plus the England rugby win and the sorry demise of Chelsea to cheer us up.

Home > 2007-2008 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 29

One terrific bet if you can bear to place it is the 8/1 on offer from Betfred for Morecambe to win the Johnstone Paint Trophy. Morecambe are certainly not out of the game by any means, and Sammy McIlroy's men definitely have the ability to beat MK Dons if they overcome us. Town's lead is the slenderest of margins and the match is evenly poised. 8/1 says the bookies have all but written Morecambe off because we won the away fixture.

Town surely cannot win again at Morecambe in Saturday's league game if the game were to follow a similar pattern to Tuesday night's game when Lady Luck, the Linesman and Phil Barnes ensured Grimsby kept a clean sheet. But do they bookies know that? Morecambe are 6/5 to win a game they will be desperate to banish the outcome of Tuesday's game in and give their confidence a boost for the second leg. Town at 2/1 are not good value, unless Morecambe have key players missing.

Elsewhere in League Two Rotherham are at home to Accrington Stanley, who have a modest league position, but a terrific away record (as Grimsby can testify sadly). Rotherham with all their off the field problems have only had 1 win in 7 and yet are odds on to win. Stanley can be backed at 4/1. Their recent form is not great but it is surely worth a punt.

Rochdale have lost their last four home games and face a Chesterfield side who have fallen completely out of the promotion places. So neither side are in tip-top form. Chesterfield though won last week and are the class horse in the encounter, with Jack Lester still scoring regularly. 15/8 is surely worthy of consideration for an away win.

One final bet to consider is for Dagenham to make it five wins on the spin at Bradford - who would have predicted their recent run? Certainly not us, who had penciled them in for a bottom two finish long ago. Even their fans seemed resigned to relegation when we went there. Anywhere the Daggers are 13/5 to win at Valley Parade, something they managed to do at Blundell Park to end our long unbeaten run. Can they do it? You never know in the world of League Two.

Recommended Bets

  • 1. Morecambe to win the Johnstone Paint Trophy (8/1, Betfred).
  • 2. Accrington Stanley to beat Rotherham (4/1, bet365).

Previous Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

06/08Accrington to be relegated7/2Ongoing
06/08Wycombe to be promoted10/3Ongoing
17/08Sunderland to beat Wigan2/1-£10.00
21/08Shrewsbury to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
21/08Bury to beat Wycombe10/3-£10.00
29/08Grimsby to beat Shrewsbury11/4-£10.00
29/08Chester to beat Rotherham3/1-£10.00
05/09Mansfield to beat Peterborough3/1-£10.00
05/09Mulligan or Bennett first goal v Accrington3/1-£5.00
11/09Stockport to beat Grimsby13/8-£10.00
11/09Lincoln to beat Darlington4/1-£10.00
18/09Lincoln to draw with Grimsby11/5-£10.00
18/09Morecambe to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
25/09Hull to beat Chelsea6/1-£10.00
25/09Notts County to draw with Chesterfield9/4-£10.00
04/10Grimsby to beat Peterborough4/1-£10.00
04/10Barnet to beat Stockport3/1+£30.00
11/10Bury to beat Notts County5/2+£25.00
11/10Grimsby to be relegated9/1Ongoing
16/10Russia to beat England11/5+£22.00
16/10South Africa to beat England2/5+£4.00
23/10Bury to beat Macclesfield21/10-£10.00
23/10Wrexham to beat Notts County5/2-£10.00
01/11Bradford to beat Brentford5/4-£10.00
08/11Carlisle to win by 2 or more goals13/10-£10.00
08/11Dagenham to get relegated4/1Ongoing
15/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe13/10-£10.00
15/11Barnet to beat Shrewsbury9/4-£10.00
19/11Carlisle to beat Grimsby13/10-£10.00
19/11Croatia to beat England9.6+£81.71
28/11Havant and Waterlooville to beat Notts County6/1+£60.00
06/12Brentford to beat Grimsby11/10-£10.00
06/12Wrexham to beat Dagenham2/1-£10.00
11/12Morecambe to beat Wycombe5/2-£10.00
11/12Brentford to beat Wrexham5/2+£25.00
18/12Bury to beat Chester10/3-£10.00
18/12Brentford to beat MK Dons8/1-£10.00
27/12Rochdale to beat Macclesfield6/4-£10.00
27/12Accrington Stanley to beat Mansfield15/8+£18.75
02/01Stockport to beat Notts County13/8+£16.25
02/01Bristol City to beat Middlesbrough2/1-£10.00
10/01Accrington Stanley to beat Stockport5/2-£10.00
10/01Scunthorpe to be relegated5/6Ongoing
16/01Wrexham to beat MK Dons9/2+£45.00
16/01Hereford to beat Chesterfield2/1-£10.00
23/01Rochdale to beat MK Dons7/2+£35.00
23/01Newcastle to beat Arsenal7/1-£10.00
30/01Wrexham to beat Darlington11/4+£27.50
30/01Barnet to beat Morecambe11/8-£10.00
06/02Chesterfield to beat Grimsby15/8-£10.00
06/02Wrexham to beat Peterborough5/1-£10.00
06/02Rotherham to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
15/02Notts County to beat Chester15/8+£18.75
15/02Wrexham to beat MK Dons5/1£0.0
20/02Lincoln to beat Rotherham11/4-£10.00
20/02Barnet to beat MK Dons11/4-£10.00
Total +£53.96

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