Cheers Bury! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 28
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 21/02/2009
THE long losing sequence finally came to an end last week, unfortunately at the expense of the Mariners after our spread bet recommendation to buy Bury came up trumps.
Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 28 |
Darlington v Grimsby. On paper it's very hard to see past a home win on this one, although players coming back for Town may improve our prospects, and Grimsby may have a chance of getting a low-scoring draw at 3/1. Selection: Draw
Aldershot v Morecambe. Neither of these sides are going anywhere this season, but Aldershot's bubble has well and truly burst. Morecambe are a solid team and more than capable of taking advantage of the Hampshire club's malaise. The Shrimpers can be backed at what seems a very generous 11/4. Selection: Morecambe
Barnet v Bradford. Town have played both these sides recently and both on the day played better than us. Barnet dropped their dodgy 'keeper straight after our 3-3 draw. Although they lost last weekend, their home form has not been bad and they have had several draws against the top sides. Bradford are obviously favourites after a string of impressive results but then big sides like Bradford have been losing at places like Underhill since time immemorial, and Barnet are a better side than their league position would suggest. Go for a home win at 5/2. Selection: Barnet
This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds - as per last year
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
Recommended Spread Bet
- No bet
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 66/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
13/02 | Barnet to beat Notts County | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
13/02 | Exeter to beat Aldershot | 10/11 | +£9.09 |
05/02 | Dagenham to beat Bury | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to beat Bradford | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Macclesfield to beat Rotherham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0) | 4/5 | £0.00 |
21/01 | Tottenham to beat Man Utd | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Lincoln to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Luton to beat Darlington | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
06/01 | Exeter to beat Notts County | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Accrington to beat Rochdale | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Bournemouth to beat Darlington | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Luton to beat Chesterfield | 14/5 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Port Vale to beat Rotherham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Bournemouth to beat Brentford | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale | 9/4 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Grimsby to beat Aldershot | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Lincoln to beat Notts County | 7/4 | +£17.50 |
11/12 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
11/12 | Bournemouth to beat Rochdale | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Bournemouth to beat Chester | Evens | +£10.00 |
04/12 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 10/11 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Aldershot beat Millwall | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Alferton beat Scunthorpe | 17/2 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Notts Co to beat Dagenham | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Gillingham to beat Bury | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 9/2 | +£45.00 |
11/11 | Gillingham to beat Rotherham | 5/4 | +£12.50 |
06/11 | Northampton to beat Leeds | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to beat Morecambe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Bradford to beat MK Dons | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
31/10 | Dagenham to beat Accrington | 5/6 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Luton to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Port Vale to beat Aldershot | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Rotherham to beat Macclesfield | 8/5 | +£16.00 |
22/10 | Luton to beat Bury | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
14/10 | Brentford to beat Aldershot | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Port Vale to beat Chester | 2/1 | +£20.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to beat Wycombe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Barnet to beat Dagenham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe | 6/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Dagenham to beat Peterborough | 5/1 | +£50.00 |
30/09 | Shrewsbury beat Darlington | 2/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Brentford to beat Macclesfield | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
24/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Rotherham to beat Dag & Red | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Dagenham to beat Wycombe | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Macclesfield to beat Port Vale | 7/2 | +£35.00 |
09/09 | Rotherham to beat Rochdale | 11/10 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Port Vale to beat Darlington | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Dag & Red to beat Brentford | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Rotherham to beat Chesterfield | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Chester to beat Barnet | 17/10 | +£17.00 |
28/08 | Rotherham to beat Brentford | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Lincoln to win at Wycombe | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Port Vale to beat Dag & Red | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Bradford to win at Macclesfield | 13/10 | +£13.00 |
15/08 | Rotherham to win at Morecambe | 21/10 | +£21.00 |
06/08 | Rochdale to beat Grimsby | 17/10 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£55.98 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13/02 | Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance | 27 | 45 | B | +£18.00 |
30/01 | Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance | 32 | 45 | S | -£13.00 |
21/01 | Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | +£34.00 |
15/01 | Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance | 14 | 35 | S | +£21.00 |
04/12 | Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance | 21 | 10 | B | -£6.00 |
04/12 | Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | -£34.00 |
19/11 | Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance | 25 | 45 | S | +£20.00 |
31/10 | Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance | 26 | 0 | S | -£26.00 |
22/10 | Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance | 19 | 10 | S | +£9.00 |
14/10 | Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance | 14 | 65 | S | -£51.00 |
09/10 | Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 19 | 20 | S | -£1.00 |
24/09 | Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 21 | 10 | S | +£11.00 |
17/09 | Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance | 30 | 20 | S | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance | 21 | B | 55 | +£34.00 |
04/09 | Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance | 23 | S | 0 | -£23.00 |
28/08 | Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 38 | B | 20 | +£8.00 |
19/08 | Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance | 38 | B | 55 | +£17.00 |
15/08 | Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 31 | S | 55 | -£24.00 |
06/08 | Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance | 20 | S | 0 | +£20.00 |
Total | +£4.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
05/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£270.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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