Cheers Morecambe! |
Beat the Bookies: Week 33
By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 27/03/2009
LAST week's win for Morecambe at Shrewsbury ensured a winning spread bet, and a return to profit in that type of bet for the season. A very small fixed odds loss ensured that our fixed odds tips are still in profit for the fourth year running. The Monkey has yet to get a winner!
Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 33 |
It's getting to that stage of the season where for at least half a dozen teams every game is vital, seemingly more important than the rest of the season put together. For other teams the season is effectively over, but a win bonus or two will give some summer spending money.
Grimsby v Aldershot. It's easy to make out that Aldershot are just going to make up the numbers, but it's unlikely to be that comfortable. There were moments in both the home wins over Lincoln and Gillingham when the match could have taken a turn for the opposition but it wasn't to be. But with the new players gelling and some of other players looking much better than before, the Mariners should still be able to pull off a win. Grimsby can be backed at 11/10. Selection: Grimsby
Bury v Bournemouth.Despite their positions at opposite ends of the league table it is Bournemouth who are the form side. Bury have drawn their last four games, although three of them were away and in the fourth they were down to 10 men for most of the game. However at 16/5 the Cherries have got to be the better value. Selection: Bournemouth
Chester v Bradford.Chester look to have got problems both and on and off the pitch, it just remains to be seen how much they knuckle down and overcome them. The will be even more outnumbered against Bradford then they were against us, and their only saving grace is that City have lost the last four (to predominantly top teams). Given Chester's recent form 11/10 for an away win looks a decent price. Selection: Bradford
Chesterfield v Port Vale. Chesterfield can still sneak in the play-offs and Port Vale may be looking for a few more points so they can contemplate going into administration this season (who knows?!). However one factor could be that Chesterfield only played on Wednesday whereas Value have had a week's rest. At 4/1 Vale have to be worth a punt. Selection: Port Vale
Rochdale v Exeter. Both sides and inconsistent to say the least, so expect the unexpected in this game. Dale were reputedly poor in midweek and have also not had much rest. Go for Exeter at 3/1. Selection: Exeter
This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:
- Fixed Odds - as per last year
- Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
- The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).
Recommended Fixed Odds Bets
Recommended Spread Bet
- Rochdale v Exeter: Sell Rochdale Mini Performance, 30, extrabet.com
The Monkey's Bet
- Grimsby to win 3-1, 16/1 Bet365
Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
20/03 | Chester to beat Bury | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
20/03 | Luton to beat Macclesfield | 16/5 | +£8.00 |
12/03 | Rotherham to beat Rochdale | 16/5 | +£32.00 |
12/03 | Luton to beat Aldershot | 2/1 | -£10.00 |
05/03 | Morecambe to beat Dagenham | 13/5 | +£26.00 |
05/03 | Barnet to beat Chester | 4/5 | +£8.00 |
26/02 | Bournemouth to beat Gillingham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
26/02 | Barnet to beat Chesterfield | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
20/02 | Barnet to beat Bradford | 5/2 | +£25.00 |
20/02 | Morecambe to beat Aldershot | 11/4 | +£27.50 |
13/02 | Barnet to beat Notts County | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
13/02 | Exeter to beat Aldershot | 10/11 | +£9.09 |
05/02 | Dagenham to beat Bury | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to beat Bradford | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Macclesfield to beat Rotherham | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Ipswich (+2) to beat Chelsea (0) | 4/5 | £0.00 |
21/01 | Tottenham to beat Man Utd | 8/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Lincoln to beat Rochdale | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Luton to beat Darlington | 7/2 | -£10.00 |
06/01 | Exeter to beat Notts County | 6/4 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Accrington to beat Rochdale | 5/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Bournemouth to beat Darlington | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Luton to beat Chesterfield | 14/5 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Port Vale to beat Rotherham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Bournemouth to beat Brentford | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Shrewsbury to beat Rochdale | 9/4 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Grimsby to beat Aldershot | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
16/12 | Lincoln to beat Notts County | 7/4 | +£17.50 |
11/12 | Port Vale to beat Bury | 10/3 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Macclesfield to beat Chesterfield | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
11/12 | Bournemouth to beat Rochdale | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Bournemouth to beat Chester | Evens | +£10.00 |
04/12 | Bradford to beat Dagenham | 10/11 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Aldershot beat Millwall | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
28/11 | Alferton beat Scunthorpe | 17/2 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Notts Co to beat Dagenham | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Gillingham to beat Bury | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to beat Bury | 9/2 | +£45.00 |
11/11 | Gillingham to beat Rotherham | 5/4 | +£12.50 |
06/11 | Northampton to beat Leeds | 13/2 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to beat Morecambe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Bradford to beat MK Dons | 11/2 | +£55.00 |
31/10 | Dagenham to beat Accrington | 5/6 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Luton to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to beat Dagenham | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Port Vale to beat Aldershot | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Rotherham to beat Macclesfield | 8/5 | +£16.00 |
22/10 | Luton to beat Bury | 10/3 | +£33.33 |
14/10 | Brentford to beat Aldershot | 19/10 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Port Vale to beat Chester | 2/1 | +£20.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to beat Wycombe | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Barnet to beat Dagenham | 9/2 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe | 6/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Dagenham to beat Peterborough | 5/1 | +£50.00 |
30/09 | Shrewsbury beat Darlington | 2/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Brentford to beat Macclesfield | 8/11 | +£7.27 |
24/09 | Bradford to beat Shrewsbury | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Rotherham to beat Dagenham | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Dagenham to beat Wycombe | 3/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Macclesfield to beat Port Vale | 7/2 | +£35.00 |
09/09 | Rotherham to beat Rochdale | 11/10 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Port Vale to beat Darlington | 11/4 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Dag & Red to beat Brentford | 12/5 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Rotherham to beat Chesterfield | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Chester to beat Barnet | 17/10 | +£17.00 |
28/08 | Rotherham to beat Brentford | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Lincoln to win at Wycombe | 15/4 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Port Vale to beat Dag & Red | 21/10 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Bradford to win at Macclesfield | 13/10 | +£13.00 |
15/08 | Rotherham to win at Morecambe | 21/10 | +£21.00 |
06/08 | Rochdale to beat Grimsby | 17/10 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury | 4/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | +£30.52 | ||
Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)
Date | Bet | Price | Buy/Sell | Actual | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/03 | Shrewsbury v Morecambe - sell Shrewsbury Mini Performance | 31 | 10 | S | +£21.00 |
26/02 | Rochdale v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance | 16 | 0 | S | -£16.00 |
13/02 | Grimsby v Bury - buy Bury Mini Performance | 27 | 45 | B | +£18.00 |
30/01 | Wycombe v Accrington - sell Wycombe Mini Performance | 32 | 45 | S | -£13.00 |
21/01 | Bournemouth v Wycombe - buy Bournemouth Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | +£34.00 |
15/01 | Wycombe v Grimsby - buy Grimsby Mini Performance | 14 | 35 | S | +£21.00 |
04/12 | Luton v Wycombe - buy Luton Mini Performance | 21 | 10 | B | -£6.00 |
04/12 | Aldershot v Wycombe - sell Aldershot Mini Performance | 21 | 55 | S | -£34.00 |
19/11 | Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance | 25 | 45 | S | +£20.00 |
31/10 | Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance | 26 | 0 | S | -£26.00 |
22/10 | Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance | 19 | 10 | S | +£9.00 |
14/10 | Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance | 14 | 65 | S | -£51.00 |
09/10 | Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 19 | 20 | S | -£1.00 |
24/09 | Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance | 21 | 10 | S | +£11.00 |
17/09 | Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance | 30 | 20 | S | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance | 21 | B | 55 | +£34.00 |
04/09 | Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance | 23 | S | 0 | -£23.00 |
28/08 | Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 38 | B | 20 | +£8.00 |
19/08 | Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance | 38 | B | 55 | +£17.00 |
15/08 | Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance | 31 | S | 55 | -£24.00 |
06/08 | Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance | 20 | S | 0 | +£20.00 |
Total | +£9.00 | ||||
Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)
Date | Bet | Odds | Profit/Loss |
---|---|---|---|
20/03 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
12/03 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
05/03 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
26/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
20/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
13/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
05/02 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 20/1 | -£10.00 |
30/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
21/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
15/01 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 66/1 | -£10.00 |
31/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
23/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
11/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/12 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
11/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 50/1 | -£10.00 |
06/11 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
31/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
27/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
22/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 25/1 | -£10.00 |
14/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
09/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/10 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 80/1 | -£10.00 |
30/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
24/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 16/1 | -£10.00 |
17/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
09/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 28/1 | -£10.00 |
04/09 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 40/1 | -£10.00 |
28/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
19/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 22/1 | -£10.00 |
15/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 33/1 | -£10.00 |
06/08 | Grimsby to win 3-1 | 18/1 | -£10.00 |
Total | -£330.00 | ||
Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.
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