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Beat the Bookies: Week 13

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 01/11/2012

ANOTHER two big winners lifted the profits for the season so far to nearly £250 - not bad with only a third of the season gone! Palace's win at Leicester and Barnet's win at Chesterfield were both huge odds - we tipped the pair, and they both came in.

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 13

Town are on their travels again after a couple of disappointing results at Blundell Park. The Mariners didn't do that much wrong against Macclesfield though, and they were very unlucky to lose in a second half they totally dominated. The bookies don't know that though, so Grimsby's price (around 11/8) to win at Tamworth is probably a bit more generous than it would have been if Town had got the draw or win their deserved last weekend.

The FA Cup this weekend is a punter's paradise if you like tipping big upsets as we tend to. There's nearly always some big shocks at very long prices. If you're on board - as we've been in the past (who can forget the weekend we tipped FC United to beat Rochdale and Dover to beat Gillingham, and they both did) then it can be a big pay day.

Premier League

  • Liverpool v Newcastle - away win (6.9, Pinnacle). Liverpool lost in midweek in the League Cup to Swansea, whereas the Geordies did not play during the week. Over the last couple of years the Magpies have been consistently better than Liverpool, and they are still above them in the league. The odds do not reflect the reality of what is happening week in week out.


  • Sheff Wed v Peterborough (4.6, Marathon). Sheff Wed had a good result last week but generally have been dreadful for weeks before that. Posh have won 4 out of the last 6!.

    FA Cup

  • Swindon v Macclesfield - away win (11.0, Betfair). Macclesfield were pretty impressive against Grimsby last weekend, especially in the first half. They've had 3 good results against Gateshead, Newport and Grimsby. Swindon had an energy-sapping cup game in midweek against Villa whilst Macc put their feet up.

  • Aldershot v Hendon - away win (10.0, WBX). Aldershot have been terrible at home all season and the fans have lost faith in the manager. They had a good unexpected result away last week but in Hendon they face exactly the sort of tie a nervous home crowd don't want!

  • Cambridge C v MK Dons - home win (11.0, Marathon). MK Dons had a good result at Scunny last week (but then most teams do). Before that though they've been pretty mediocre in recent weeks. City have been chosen by ESPN as the Friday night televised game, which if anything is going to motivate the underdog even more.


    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    25/10Chesterfield v Barnet - away win6.20£52.00
    25/10Leicester v Crystal Palace - away win7.11£61.10
    25/10Tranmere v Preston - away win3.75£-10.00
    25/10Stoke v Sunderland - away win4.57£-10.00
    25/10Dartford v Mansfield - away win3.15£-10.00
    19/10Brighton v Middlesbrough - away win5.60£46.00
    19/10Fleetwood Town v AFC Wimbledon - away win6.50£-10.00
    19/10Forest Green v Dartford - away win5.00£-10.00
    19/10Grimsby v Kidderminster - draw3.60£-10.00
    19/10Woking v Ebbsfleet - away win4.20£32.00
    12/10Fleetwood Town v Wycombe - away win5.82£48.20
    12/10Gateshead v Cambridge Utd - away win3.44£-10.00
    12/10Telford Utd vs Grimsby Town - draw3.52£-10.00
    12/10Eastbourne Borough v Sutton Utd - draw3.60£-10.00
    12/10Bournemouth v Leyton Orient - away win4.31£-10.00
    05/10Man City v Sunderland - draw or away win4.10£-10.00
    05/10Blackpool v Charlton - away win5.60£46.00
    05/10MK Dons v Portsmouth - away win8.00£-10.00
    05/10Notts County v Tranmere - away win3.60£26.00
    05/10Morecambe v Burton Albion - away win2.75£-10.00
    05/10Hereford v Stockport - away win3.96£29.60
    05/10Sutton Utd v Tonbridge - draw3.50£25.00
    28/09Fulham v Man City - home win4.80£-10.00
    28/09Reading v Newcastle - away win2.50£-10.00
    28/09Bournemouth v Walsall - away win5.56£45.60
    28/09Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win2.30£13.00
    28/09Dover v Maidenhead Utd - away win4.33£-10.00
    28/09Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw4.33£-10.00
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £-58.10
    Champ Total £123.10
    L1 Total £100.10
    L2 Total £89.53
    BSP Total £-14.90
    BSS Total £-5.00
    Cups Total £12.00
    Grand Total £246.73

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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