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Thanks Grimsby!
Thanks Grimsby!

Beat the Bookies: Week 16

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 19/11/2008

LAST Weekend was highly successful with both tips winning and over 57 quid ending up in the coffers of Beat the Bookies. What's more one of those tips was the Mariners who finally got the monkey of a first league win off their backs.

Home > 2008-2009 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 16


Grimsby v Bournemouth Despite Grimsby's win last week neither team are doing very well at the moment, and the Mariners are still yet to win in front of their own fans for something like half a season! Grimsby can be backed at 7/5 to win the crunch game, which is probably about right, but not the greatest odds for a team which such a poor record at home. Only you can decide whether it is worth it.

Dag & Red v Notts County Dagenham have really slid down the league in recent weeks, whilst County seem comfortably perched in their customary, safe, mid-table spot. A point is no use to the Magpies and they will be all out to pick up a win at Victoria Road, to follow up on their 4-0 drubbing of Barnet last week.

Rochdale v Luton Another club who must and need to set out to win in every game are Luton. This week they head to in-form Rochdale. Dale are having a good season, but they slip up every now and then at home, and the Hatters are starting to improve and put on a bit of a fight to help them stay up this season. Luton can be backed at 9/2.

Rotherham v Bradford Rotherham have had a couple of bad results recently and their involvement in so may cup games could be catching up with them. Local rivals Bradford are one of the best teams in League Two on their day and could well send the Millers to another defeat. City can be backed at 13/8, and may score a few if the Millers' defence is as generous as it has been recently.

Barnet v Macclesfield Barnet have conceded lots of goals recently, Macclesfield usually manage at least a goal, so this could be a high-scoring game. The Silkmen are worth considering backing at 12/5.

Bury v Gillingham Bury have a terrible record at home (as we well know), and Gillingham are starting to really pick up this season on the travels, having been consistently strong at home but weak away in the early part of the season. Bury's confidence must have gone following the humiliation of losing to ten men Grimsby and another home defeat could be on the cards, which can be picked up for 19/10.

Chester v Aldershot Regular readers will know that we often point out that a team can be weaker than recent form suggests when they have played in midweek and their opponents have not, especially when it was a cup game where the players tend to give absolutely everything. Aldershot may well suffer from their FA Cup Replay success at Rotherham on Tuesday night, even at a Chester side who are bottom of the form league. Chester are 13/8 to win on their own pitch.


This season we will be trying out three different betting strategies:

  • Fixed Odds - as per last year
  • Spread Betting on the Mini Performance Index with IG Index (25 points for a win, 10 for a draw, 10 for a goal)
  • The Monkey (betting on Town to win each game 3-1, i.e. the complete absence of any betting strategy).


Recommended Fixed Odds Bets

  • 1. Notts Co to beat Dagenham 12/5, bet365
  • 2. Gillingham to beat Bury 19/10, bet365

Recommended Spread Bet

  • Rotherham v Bradford - buy Bradford Mini Performance (25) at www.igsport.com

The Monkey's Bet

  • Grimsby to win 3-1 (25/1, bet365)

Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
11/11Grimsby to beat Bury9/2+£45.00
11/11Gillingham to beat Rotherham5/4+£12.50
06/11Northampton to beat Leeds13/2-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to beat Morecambe11/4-£10.00
06/11Bradford to beat MK Dons11/2+£55.00
31/10Dagenham to beat Accrington5/6-£10.00
31/10Luton to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to beat Dagenham4/1-£10.00
27/10Port Vale to beat Aldershot12/5-£10.00
22/10Rotherham to beat Macclesfield8/5+£16.00
22/10Luton to beat Bury10/3+£33.33
14/10Brentford to beat Aldershot19/10-£10.00
14/10Port Vale to beat Chester2/1+£20.00
09/10Grimsby to beat Wycombe11/4-£10.00
09/10Barnet to beat Dagenham9/2-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to beat Scunthorpe6/1-£10.00
06/10Dagenham to beat Peterborough5/1+£50.00
30/09Shrewsbury beat Darlington2/1-£10.00
30/09Brentford to beat Macclesfield8/11+£7.27
24/09Bradford to beat Shrewsbury3/1-£10.00
24/09Rotherham to beat Dag & Red3/1-£10.00
17/09Dagenham to beat Wycombe3/1-£10.00
17/09Macclesfield to beat Port Vale7/2+£35.00
09/09Rotherham to beat Rochdale11/10-£10.00
09/09Port Vale to beat Darlington11/4-£10.00
04/09Dag & Red to beat Brentford12/5-£10.00
04/09Rotherham to beat Chesterfield21/10-£10.00
28/08Chester to beat Barnet17/10+£17.00
28/08Rotherham to beat Brentford21/10-£10.00
19/08Lincoln to win at Wycombe15/4-£10.00
19/08Port Vale to beat Dag & Red21/10-£10.00
15/08Bradford to win at Macclesfield13/10+£13.00
15/08Rotherham to win at Morecambe21/10+£21.00
06/08Rochdale to beat Grimsby17/10-£10.00
06/08Macclesfield to beat Shrewsbury4/1-£10.00
Total +£94.10

Previous Spread Bets (Around 1 bet per week each of Rob's own money)

DateBetPriceBuy/SellActualProfit/Loss
31/10Notts County v Bury - Buy Notts County Mini Performance260S-£26.00
22/10Port Vale v Morecambe - Sell Morecambe mini-performance1910S+£9.00
14/10Rotherham v Barnet - Sell Barnet mini-performance1465S-£51.00
09/10Accrington v Bradford - Sell Accrington mini-performance1920S-£1.00
24/09Accrington v Rochdale - Sell Accrington mini-performance2110S+£11.00
17/09Chester v Shrewsbury - Buy Shrewsbury mini-performance3020S-£10.00
09/09Grimsby v Chester - Buy Chester mini-performance21B55+£34.00
04/09Chesterfield v Rotherham: Buy Rotherham mini performance23S0-£23.00
28/08Rochdale v Bury: Sell Rochdale mini-performance38B20+£8.00
19/08Rotherham v Chester: Buy Rotherham mini-performance38B55+£17.00
15/08Rochdale v Barnet: Sell Rochdale mini-performance31S55-£24.00
06/08Bury v Brentford: Sell Brentford mini performance20S0+£20.00
Total -£36.00

Previous Monkey Bets (£10 per week of the Monkey's pretend money)

DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
11/11Grimsby to win 3-150/1-£10.00
06/11Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
31/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
27/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
22/10Grimsby to win 3-125/1-£10.00
14/10Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
09/10Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/10Grimsby to win 3-180/1-£10.00
30/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
24/09Grimsby to win 3-116/1-£10.00
17/09Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
09/09Grimsby to win 3-128/1-£10.00
04/09Grimsby to win 3-140/1-£10.00
28/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
19/08Grimsby to win 3-122/1-£10.00
15/08Grimsby to win 3-133/1-£10.00
06/08Grimsby to win 3-118/1-£10.00
Total -£170.00

Every month I try and beat the bookies but now you can try and beat me - with pretend money. Just sign up and join the Grimsby Town team at OLBG.

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