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Cheers Tranmere!
Cheers Tranmere!

Beat the Bookies: Week 8

By: Rob Sedgwick
Date: 28/09/2012

TWO wins out of five last week was sufficient to claw back a bit of money from the bookies, leaving us more or less level for the season to date. Back to where we started!

Home > 2012-2013 Season > Beat the Bookies > Week 8

Newport v Grimsby is a difficult one to call this week. But for Niven's absence I'd probably go for Town, but breaking up a winning team for a trip to the league leaders tips the balance slightly. There doesn't look great value on any of the three outcomes, so as ever we turn our attention elsewhere.

Premier League

  • Fulham v Man City - home win (4.8, Smarkets). One of these teams is the form team, the other one is struggling. You work it out. Here's a clue, they're the home team.
  • Reading v Newcastle - away win (2.5, Coral). Reading have really struggled defensively this season in both league and cup, and Newcastle have some of the best attackers in the division. Reading's best hope is Kebe's return. Expect a few goals in this tie, but Newcastle should edge it.

    League One

  • Bournemouth v Walsall - away win (5.56, Pinnacle). Walsall have won 3 out of 4, Bournemouth have won 1 out of 4. Looking at the bookies' odds you would think it is the other way round!

    Blue Square Premier

  • Stockport v Ebbsfleet United - home win. (2.3, Pinnacle). Ebbsfleet are a club struggling in form and confidence. They did well to get a point at home to Woking in midweek, although they were a little fortunate. They'll do even better to get anything at Stockport.
  • Forest Green v Lincoln City - draw (4.333, Blue Square). There are signs, like Darling's "green shots of recovery", that Lincoln are slowly improving for a dismal start. Wins over Hyde and Nuneaton both had elements of luck to them, but the Imps got over the line. It would be a very bold man who bets on an away win in this televised clash, but a draw is not beyond the Imps.

    Blue Square South

  • Dover v Maidenhead Utd (4.33, 888 Sport). Dover just can't win at home in the league. Maidenhead have shown over the last couple of years that they are not afraid of the more fancied teams in the league, and can come away from the better supported clubs with handsome spoils.

    bet365

    Previous Fixed Odds Bets (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
    21/09Braintree Town v Stockport - away win6.00£-10.00
    21/09Crawley Town v Tranmere - away win3.75£27.50
    21/09Walsall v Preston - away win2.50£-10.00
    21/09Leicester v Hull - away win4.19£-10.00
    21/09Liverpool v Man Utd - away win2.79£17.90
    12/09Reading v Tottenham - home win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Sunderland v Liverpool - home win3.60£-10.00
    12/09Brighton v Sheff Wed - away win4.00£-10.00
    12/09Shrewsbury v Scunthorpe - home win1.93£-10.00
    12/09Stevenage v Crewe - away win5.52£-10.00
    12/09Forest Green v Alfreton Town - away win (DNB)4.33£0.00
    06/09Dover v Hayes & Yeading - home win1.95£-10.00
    06/09AFC Telford v Lincoln City - home win2.20£-10.00
    06/09Northampton v AFC Wimbledon - home win1.83£8.33
    31/08Fleetwood Town v Aldershot - away win5.25£-10.00
    31/08Tranmere v Colchester - home win2.05£10.50
    31/08Hartlepool v Scunthorpe - home win2.20£12.00
    31/08Swansea v Sunderland - away win3.67£-10.00
    31/08Man City v QPR - Draw8.00£-10.00
    31/08Southampton v Man Utd - home win6.80£-10.00
    24/08Chelsea v Newcastle - draw4.52£-10.00
    24/08Charlton v Hull - home win2.40£-10.00
    24/08Scunthorpe v Yeovil - away win3.75£27.50
    24/08Shrewsbury v Tranmere - away win3.10£-10.00
    24/08Aldershot v Cheltenham - away win3.10£21.00
    24/08Lincoln City v Macclesfield - home win3.00£-10.00
    17/08Reading v Stoke - draw3.40£24.00
    17/08Crawley Town v Scunthorpe - home win2.10£11.00
    17/08Grimsby v Nuneaton - Grimsby to win by 3 or more4.80£-10.00
    10/08Lincoln City v Kidderminster - home2.83£18.30
    10/08Southport v Grimsby - home win2.97£-10.00
    10/08Hereford v Macclesfield - home win2.42£14.20
    Premier Total £-18.10
    Champ Total £-30.00
    L1 Total £58.50
    L2 Total £9.33
    BSP Total £-17.50
    BSS Total £-10.00
    Cups Total £0.00
    Grand Total £-7.77

    2012 Summer Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    DateBetOddsProfit/Loss
    Rugby League Total£43.10
    Tennis Total£-30.80
    Euro 2012 Total-£15.00
    Cricket Total£21.00
    Baseball Total-£10.00
    Olympics Total£27.50
    Grand Total£37.80

    2011-2012 Record (1 or 2 bets, around £10 per week each of Rob's own money)

    CompetitionProfit/Loss
    Premier Total£-170.60
    Champ Total£-24.90
    L1 Total£4.88
    L2 Total£198.80
    BSP Total£-83.00
    BSS Total£111.80
    Cups Total£21.85
    Grand Total£58.83

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